CAIR Exit Poll of Muslim Voters Reveals Surge in Support for Jill Stein and Donald Trump, Steep Decline for Harris

• Ismail Allison
• November 8, 2024
• 11:02 am

The Council on American-Islamic Relations (CAIR), the nation’s largest Muslim civil rights and advocacy organization, today released the first set of results from its 2024 exit poll of 1,575 verified American Muslim voters.

The national results show Green Party candidate Dr. Jill Stein received 53% of the Muslim vote, followed by President-elect Donald Trump with 21% and Vice President Kamala Harris with 20%.

CAIR also released Michigan-specific responses from 502 registered Muslim voters, revealing that Dr. Stein received 59% support, with Trump at 22% and Harris at 14%.

CAIR’s national exit poll survey was conducted by Molitico Consulting LLC via text message to a randomized list of verified registered Muslim voters on November 5-6, with a confidence interval of 95% and a margin of error of +/- 2.47 percentage points. CAIR’s final pre-election poll showed Stein and Harris statistically tied at 42 and 41 percent with Trump trailing at 10%.

READ: CAIR’S NATIONAL EXIT POLL OF MUSLIM VOTERS
READ: CAIR’S MI EXIT POLL OF MUSLIM VOTERS

In a statement, CAIR National Government Affairs Director Robert S. McCaw said:

“We applaud American Muslims for their participation throughout the 2024 election season despite deep disillusionment due to the Gaza genocide. Through their activism during the primaries, their engagement with various presidential candidates, and their high turnout in the general election, American Muslims made their voices heard and reaffirmed their important place in our nation’s politics.

“Our final exit poll of American Muslim voters confirms that opposition to the Biden administration’s support for the war on Gaza played a crucial role, leading to a sharp drop in support for Vice President Harris compared to the support President Biden received from Muslim voters in 2020, and a sharp rise in support for third party candidate Jill Stein. President-Elect Trump also managed to make in-roads with Muslim voters.

“All elected officials and political parties must recognize the importance of engaging with Muslim voters about issues important to the community, from critical kitchen-table topics like the economy, healthcare and student debt to legal issues like civil rights and religious freedom to global issues like the genocide in Gaza. We encourage our community to keep making their voices heard in the weeks, months and years ahead.”

Results of CAIR 2024 American Muslim Voter National Presidential Exit Poll

Question One: Did you vote in the 2024 Presidential election?

Yes: 86.2% 
No: 13.8%

Question Two: Which presidential candidate did you vote for?
Voted for Dr. Jill Stein: 53.2%
Voted for Donald Trump: 21.4% 
Voted for Kamala Harris: 20.3% 
Voted for Dr. Cornel West: 1.4%
Voted for Oliver Chase: 0.2%
Voted for Other Candidate: 3.6%

Results of CAIR’s 2024 American Muslim Voter National Presidential Exit Poll – Michigan State Responses

Question One: Did you vote in the 2024 Presidential election?
Yes: 92.8% 

No: 7.2% 

Question Two: Which presidential candidate did you vote for?
Voted for Dr. Jill Stein: 59.1%
Voted for Donald Trump: 22.4%

Voted for Kamala Harris: 14.3% 
Voted for Dr. Cornel West: 1.5% 
Voted for Oliver Chase: 0.4% 
Voted for Other Candidate: 2.2%

BACKGROUND:

CAIR has been working throughout the election season to mobilize the nation’s over 2.5 million registered American Muslim voters, including in the final days of the election.

SEE: CAIR COMMUNITY ALERT: Muslim Voter Turnout Promising But Must Be Higher. Vote on Nov. 5th!

Over the weekend, CAIR sent over 600,000 text messages reminding registered Muslim voters across the county, including key swing states, to plan to vote and turn out on election day.  

On Wednesday, following the election, CAIR commended American Muslims for turning out to vote despite deep frustration and disillusionment with both major parties due to the genocide in Gaza.

CAIR called on Democratic elected officials to learn lessons from Vice President Harris’ loss of support among Muslims and other voters opposed to the Gaza genocide and urged President-elect Trump to prioritize fulfilling his campaign pledge to pursue peace abroad, including an end to Israel’s war on Gaza.

Washington, D.C. based CAIR also celebrated the election of American Muslim U.S. Representative-elect Lateefah Simon (D-CA) to Congress, representing California’s District 12. Simon, who currently serves on the Bay Area Rapid Transit board and has previously led the Lawyers’ Committee for Civil Rights in the San Francisco Bay Area, will join fellow American Muslim U.S. Representatives André Carson (D-IN), Rashida Tlaib (D-MI), and Ilhan Omar (D-MN) in the 119th Congress. With the addition of Representative-elect Simon, the number of American Muslims in Congress has grown to four.

NOTE: As a 501(c)(3) nonprofit, CAIR does not endorse or oppose any candidates and does not claim one candidate’s favorability over another. Our mission remains to defend civil rights, promote justice, and empower American Muslims.  

END

CONTACT: CAIR National Deputy Director Edward Ahmed Mitchell, 404-285-9530, e-Mitchell@cair.com; CAIR Government Affairs Director Robert McCaw, 202-742-6448, rmccaw@cair.com; CAIR National Communications Director Ibrahim Hooper, 202-744-7726, ihooper@cair.com; CAIR National Communications Manager Ismail Allison, 202-770-6280, iallison@cair.com